Trev is spot on. Scotland possibly seeking annexation, N.Ireland fighting not to be let go, friends in UK not understanding how the whole thing will affect ex-pats. It's crazy. Yes, 52% voting to leave but 47% voting remain - it was hardly a landslide and I wonder how it would pan out now if there were to be another referendum?
If voters were persuaded in a new referendum to vote the same as last time it is very likely that Remain would win this time for two reasons
Firstly according to an expert on the subject, two and a half million teenagers have reached voting age since 2016. Although turnout in this age group tends to be low, those that would vote are overwhelmingly in favour of wanting Britain to stay in the EU.
Secondly, over the same period, two million Britons have died. Older voters divided two-to-one in favour of Brexit in 2016. Thus this demographic factor would have more of an adverse impact on the Brexit vote than on the Remain vote.
Other polling data suggests that there has been very little change of mind in peoples' voting intentions. 8 out of 10 people say they would vote the same way as before. However, among the minority, more Leave than Remain voters are having second thoughts.
The above observations are all consistent with the average polling data over the last 10 months which shows a steady 53-47 per cent preference for Remain.
Richard
